Predictions for the 21st century as of 2003
Please note that these predictions are controversial, and disputed by many other observers: they are listed here to show some late 20th century futurists' predictions of the events of the 21st century so that they may be compared with real events as they happen.
- 2003: The last birth year of the Millennial Generation. (William Strauss and Neil Howe, 1991)
- 2004: Cyprus, Czech republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia join the European Union (EU).
- 2005: Third turning (Unraveling, which began with 1984's "Morning in America") over; Fourth turning (Crisis era) begins (William Strauss and Neil Howe, 1997)
- 2006: GNU/Linux becomes the dominant operating system on the desktop (it became the dominant server OS at the end of the 20th century).
- 2006: Chinese passes English as the most prevalent language on the Internet
- 2007: Bulgaria and Romania join the European Union (EU).
- 2009: majority of text is created by continuous speech recognition (predicted by Ray Kurzweil 1999)
- 2010: robots appear with the processing power of lizard brains, capable of autonomously cleaning houses (predicted by Hans Moravec 1998)
- 2010: The audio CD is no longer the format of first choice
- 2012: the great cycle of the Maya calendar rolls over
- 2014: Fish farming, or aquaculture, provides a majority of seafood in the United States
- 2019: computers pass limited forms of the Turing test; people begin to have relationships with computers; visual, auditory and tactile virtual reality enables people to realistically interact with physically distant partners; automatically driving systems installed in most roads (predicted by Ray Kurzweil 1999)
- 2020: Peak year of the "Crisis of 2020" (Strauss and Howe, 1991)
- 2027: Crisis of 2020 over; First Turning (New High) begins (Strauss and Howe, 1997)
- 2029: Human - computer communication via direct neural connections; humans don't work in production, agriculture and transport anymore; computers claim to be conscious and these claims are generally accepted (predicted by Ray Kurzweil 1999)
- 2030: robots with monkey-like thinking capabilities, able to imitate tasks and solve simple problems, appear (predicted by Hans Moravec 1998)
- 2040: robots comparable in ability to humans appear; soon thereafter, they surpass humans in most abilities (predicted by Hans Moravec 1998)
- 2047: High over; Awakening begins (Strauss and Howe, 1997)
- 2049: Nanotechnology produces food without agriculture; nanobot swarms create tactile-realistic projections of people and objects (predicted by Ray Kurzweil 1999)
- 2050: the biggest war the world has ever seen is over, and rebuilding is ongoing (predicted by John Archibald Wheeler in 2002)
- 2069: Awakening over; Unraveling begins (Strauss and Howe, 1997)
- 2099: Humans and computers merge; most human consciousnesses don't employ carbon based hardware anymore (predicted by Ray Kurzweil 1999)